Happy Thanksgiving everyone.
I project Davis closer to +900 to top the Turkey Day reception charts. He has a wider range of results than most players, so you could argue that it should be less.
Davis doesn’t need the volume of other receivers to win this bet given his ability to play big. There’s a scenario where he leads the board with something like 125 receiving yards going into the last game of the night. If that’s the case, you can coverage your bet by betting Justin Jefferson’s receiving yards. If Jefferson goes below his 88.5 totalit’s unlikely anyone else will top 125. If he goes between 89 and 124 receiving yards, you’d win both bets.
The commitment to Allen goes hand in hand with Davis. He would say that a fair price in Allen is closer to +200.
With that out of the way, here are my favorite props for all three Thanksgiving games.
Against Cleveland, Singletary benefited from Josh Allen posting season lows in passing (197) and rushing (seven) yards. I think we’ll see it bounce back with a game big enough in the air and on the ground to eat up Singletary’s workload.
Plus, we saw second-round rookie James Cook record his best game of the season, with 11 carries for 86 running yards. Singletary dominates the broadcast and the 2-minute work, but the Bills he could continue to use Cook on early downs to keep the veteran fresh.
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Another thing that works against Singletary in this market is that he doesn’t have many downs at third or fourth and short. the Bills they have a surefire quarterback sneak where they line up Gabe Davis behind Allen, propelling the quarterback forward.
There are also some sneaky railings on this fixture. If he lions they’re able to keep him close, that will force the Bills into a pass-heavy game script.
If the Bills get a big lead, they tend to wrap up Singletary and let Cook dominate the job. Buffalo might also want to finally give Nyheim Hines some reps on offense. no hasty attempts What you get will only help this accessory.
I’m projecting Singletary for about 12.5 career attempts and would bet this at -140.
I can’t think of a better way to spend Thanksgiving than to sweat a Lawrence Cager accessory over dinner (on the East Coast).
I think this accessory offers sneaky value because the giants He’ll probably be forced into a pass-heavy script as a 10-point underdog.
Daniel Jones just lost his main target, Wan’Dale Robinson, for the rest of the season. That makes Darius Slayton the new wide receiver, though it’s unknown who will emerge as the second choice.
Cage will remain the giantsLead pass-catching tight end until rookie Daniel Bellinger returns. Cager ran a route on 70% of Jones’ pullbacks last week, and I expect to see similar use with Robinson out.
the Cowboys They’ve generated the most pressure in the NFL this season. Jones has targeted his tight end 14% of the time in a clean pocket, but that jumps to 19% when he’s under pressure.
Cager is a former wide receiver turned tight end. He is 6 foot 5 inches tall and weighs 220 pounds. He is not there to block. Plus, for what it’s worth, he had the second largest receive yardage among tight ends in the preseason.
I’m projecting Cager about 19.5 receiving yards here and I like his over advantage.
Cousins has struggled under pressure this season. His yards per attempt drops from 7.1 with a clean pocket to 5.4 when he’s under pressure. With that, it wasn’t a surprise that Cousins really fought the Cowboys as Dallas leads the league in pressure rating.
Cousins faces another tough test against a patriots defense that ranks second in pressure rating. To make matters worse, left tackle Christian Darrisaw has already been ruled out.
As a result, I am waiting Minnesota have a more conservative and run-heavy game plan against New England.
I’m projecting this closer to 238.5 passing yards.